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FRISIAN NEWS

The numbers behind the news

English · Frysk · Nederlands

Why Insurance Companies Are Retreating from Flood-Risk Areas
Economy

Why Insurance Companies Are Retreating from Flood-Risk Areas

July 7, 2025 · Frisian News

Major insurers have stopped writing new flood policies in high-risk zones across Europe and North America, leaving homeowners uninsured and governments scrambling for solutions.

English

Last month, State Farm announced it would no longer renew flood insurance in Louisiana. Across the Atlantic, European insurers pulled back from coastal regions in the Netherlands, Germany, and Scandinavia. The message from corporate headquarters is blunt: the math no longer works. Storm frequency has risen sharply in two decades, claims have ballooned, and premiums cannot rise fast enough to match the risk.

Insurance companies exist to spread risk across many customers. When too many customers live in the same danger zone, the system breaks. A single major flood event can wipe out years of premium income. Insurers respond by raising prices, and when customers refuse to pay, the companies simply leave. They have no obligation to insure anyone in any location. The market works by abandonment.

Governments now face an ugly choice. Some have created state-run insurance pools to cover the rejected customers, as France has done. These pools charge lower premiums than the market would, which means healthy balance sheets sink fast. Other regions impose mandatory insurance through law, forcing companies to stay. Some regions tried this and watch their insurers shrink their operations anyway. None of these fixes addresses the core problem: more people live in dangerous places than economic reality can support.

The real culprit sits in zoning and development policy, not in insurance math. Communities built homes and businesses in flood zones for decades because land was cheap and building codes were loose. Insurance companies subsidized this sprawl by offering cheap coverage. Now that the risk has matured into visible losses, the subsidy ends. Towns and cities that allowed construction in wetlands or river deltas now watch their property values crater and their tax bases shrivel.

The withdrawal of insurers will not reverse climate patterns or undo development mistakes. It will instead force a sharp correction in which properties in genuine flood zones lose value and become affordable only to those who accept the risk. This sounds harsh, but it beats the alternative: endless government subsidy of bad choices. Markets work best when they tell the truth about cost.


Published July 7, 2025 · Frisian News